From raw data to the gate decision, one environment.
Every part of the analysis lives in one cloud environment. Built for the whole project team to exchange data, experiment, analyse, and make high-quality decisions together. In hours and days, not months.
Start from real data, not a blank sheet.
Import existing data from your own spreadsheets or our databases to start working on a case within seconds. Whatever the source, it lands as one structured, probabilistic project augmented by our uncertainty models.
Units resolved, scenarios scaffolded, ready to simulate. No re-keying, no copy-paste reconciliation.
Plan production under real-world constraints.
Use one of four modes to build the production forecast: deterministic, scenario, ensemble, probabilistic. Import existing production simulation outcomes, propagating the technical uncertainty directly to cashflow without re-modelling every scenario. Extend existing production data with our curve-fitting tool.
Then apply the infrastructure capacity limits that actually bind.
Model the markets that move you.
Every energy project lives inside a market with uncertainty. Product prices are volatile, and this cannot be ignored when making an investment decision. It is, in fact, possible to react to price developments during the lifetime of a project.
ProDecs runs thousands of correlated price simulations and feeds them into every downstream calculation. The NPV distributions you see later are the consequence of these paths.
NPV as a distribution, not a number.
Every input you've defined feeds into a probabilistic NPV. Not "best case" or "worst case" or even "expected case". The full distribution, computed from thousands of Monte Carlo runs.
And NPV is only the headline. IRR, break-even price, profitability index and payback come out of the same runs — each as a distribution, so you see the spread, not a single reassuring figure.
Branch your case. Compare deltas.
Snapshot the base case. Modify capex, electrify production, switch the tax regime. ProDecs maintains a frozen reference so deltas surface automatically. ΔNPV, ΔCO₂, ΔPayback, against the base.
Sensitivity and comparison are built into the data model, not bolted on. Tornado charts rank the drivers that move NPV most; you can branch from any scenario, including other scenarios, and the lineage is preserved.
When to start. When to stop. When to switch.
Most NPV tools assume you've already decided when to sanction and when to abandon. ProDecs lets you ask those questions backwards: at what year does the expected NPV peak? When does early abandonment beat running through to end-of-life? Which capex configuration earns most given uncertainty?
Least-Squares Monte Carlo dynamic programming sits underneath. Sweep a sanction year, find the value-maximising abandonment date, mothball through a downturn, or price the option to switch or expand — and read the value of that flexibility straight off the distribution.
From one project to the whole portfolio.
Every project's probabilistic NPV is a building block. Stack them into a portfolio and the same math gives you portfolio NPV, portfolio variance, and the optimal sequence under capital, schedule, and dependency constraints.
Each bubble is a project. Position is risk-vs-return; size is production. Hover one to see what the project contributes. The bigger the dot, the more it moves your year.
Make the gate decision, defensibly.
A decision tree makes the sanction logic explicit. The square is the decision: develop or walk. The circle is chance: production realised as high, base, or low. The numbers are real option values, not point estimates.
EV rolls back to the root. The gate threshold turns the EV into a yes-or-no. Now your decision has a paper trail that survives a board meeting.
Ready to see ProDecs on your portfolio?
We work with our partners at OKEA, DNO, and the Norwegian Offshore Directorate, embedding probabilistic decisions into their gate processes.