A probabilistic engine for energy investment

The smarter project investment decision tool to turn uncertainty into profitability.

ProDecs presents a probabilistic view on your investment opportunity in an intuitive interface.

prodecs.app/portfolio/vesterhav-phase-2 /distribution-analysis
VESTERHAV - PHASE 2
Sensitivity analysis - Probabilistic mode
EV
€0.48B
P90
€1.50B
P10
-€0.38B
P(NPV>0)
71%
DeterministicScenarioEnsembleProbabilistic
Market price+8%
CAPEX+4%
Production delay3 mo
€0 NPV
Sensitivity test case
Base case
EV from 10,000 simulations

Drag a driver to update

The value

An unprecedented level of insight for decisions under uncertainty.

ProDecs integrates the full uncertainty landscape, prices the flexibility to change course as the future unfolds, and optimizes across the entire portfolio — turning uncertainty into a quantified, defensible decision.

Up to70%
faster economic analysis

Screen projects and whole portfolios in a fraction of the time — and evaluate far more design alternatives at once.

Up to20%
more value identified

Higher expected value on average, captured by pricing the flexibility to stage, switch and defer.

ProDecs has surfaced over $30M of present value per project that standard NPV and Excel methods missed, across dozens of validated case studies. The single largest flexibility value identified reached $2B (CCS transportation solution optimization).

Industries

Dedicated risk libraries, one valuation engine.

Today, projects are becoming more complex, more interconnected and require knowledge in totally different domains. They are exposed to an increasing uncertainty landscape with new market and regulation risks.

We've built a single valuation core that is used in all project types, combined with industry-specific risk libraries.

  • Oil & gas

    Area development optimization, field development and abandonment timing, tie-back sequencing, and optimal portfolio selection.

    Available
  • Renewable energy

    Hydro · Wind · Solar

    Reinvestment and re-licensing, FID timing, staged build-out and co-located storage.

    Available
  • Electricity grid

    Reinforcement deferral valued against load growth and the cost of energy not supplied.

    Available
  • Generic

    Domain-agnostic primitives for any capital project under uncertainty.

    Available
  • Carbon capture & storage

    Staged transport and storage build-out under carbon-price uncertainty.

    Coming soon
  • Infrastructure

    Large-scale infrastructure build-out, staged against demand and cost uncertainty.

    Planned for 2028
  • Pharma

    High-capex, uncertain-revenue pipeline decisions — the same real-options archetype.

    Planned for 2028

Going beyond the base case thinking.

Modelling every risk.

With thousands of simulations.

To see the full risk profile and take action.

Reduce the downside risk and exploit the upside potential by building in flexibility.

And know how much this flexibility is worth before committing.

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